Uncertainty had always been a tension creating device in the lands of humanity. There are sayings about it as; "I'd prefer an intelligent opponent to an ally, who is a fool", meaning the opponent would be predictable in terms of logic, that is one may see the choices and the conditions which he can see as well. However an unpredictable ally would simply be dangerous, while it's purpose to act takes different shapes every day. When it comes to an unpredictable opponent there will be something interesting to discuss, as his actions will be indeterminable as well. In that sense he would be intelligent, however in terms of not being predictable, he lacks logic and named as a fool. Here lies the paradox of an unpredictable opponent, which was found while measuring his intelligence.
Let us see more about the dangers of unpredictability to identify the unpredictable player in a game (*). First there are inner conflicts in one's mind that disturbs the integrity of it. That could be mostly about the identity. Therefore the person who is unpredictable may not know who he is in the dimensions which affect his decision making. This results the choices made much more improvising. Second the person will not know how long the game will last. That is obviously how long he will be a player. In this context IF his being a player depends heavily on his identity (that is if second depends on the identity) then the identity problem (first) may arise. This will relate to the third aspect of identifying an unpredictable player.
The third aspect would be about the question of "Would he wish to change the rules of the game?". It may be considered as cheating, however let us consider again what conditions our unpredictable player is in. First the game has some rules which makes one's identity to remain at certain conditions. If he really has a strong identity disturbed by the very game itself, he would change the game. Second he doesn't know how long the game will last, however he wants to remain as a player, how will he do that? By changing the rules of the game, of course that would mean the end of the game. And end of its very existence turning into the new game itself.
However on the other hand since he's the player now and he knows how to remain a player and he knows his changing the game will be the end of it and end of his being a player; then the second reason is refuted. When it comes to the first reason; identity, let us remember he is in a game now and the identity gets lost as the game proceeds. To remain a player he should stay in certain shape, however this isn't enough to refute the first reason like we did for the second. Therefore the conclusion to this analysis would be the following. The only unpredictability of this player to change the game lies on its identity. If it's strong he will have the desire to change the core of the game. If it gets assimilated in the game then he won't have the desire. Yet we cannot know which one it will be. And there its dangers lie, and our fear of the unknown. One thing for sure the predictable other player should be supported at all costs.
* I must admit, I haven't studied much about game theory however in explaining unpredictability of a player one might ask for the terms used in this subdiscipline.
**Secret Note**
Change "it" and "the upredictable player" with Justice and Development Party and "game" with Republic of Turkey, there you'll see today's portrait.
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